NFL O/U Game of the Week
November 13th 2009 - Special K            

Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Miami Dolphins (Over 43 points)

The Miami Dolphins are a perfect 4-0 at home in covering the OVER. I look for that trend to continue in Miami this weekend. Let's check out the matchups on both sides of the ball in this game. The Dolphins are a run first and run heavy team utilizing the wildcat formation which only a few teams have stopped. The Buccaneers rank near the bottom in run defense yielding over 160 rushing yards per game. Advantage: Dolphins rushing attack. Both defenses in fact have given up an average of 30+ points in the last three games.

I look for rookie Josh Freeman to have some success in the passing game against the Dolphins. Freeman put together a real solid game in his first start as an NFL quarterback (almost 200 yards passing, 3 TD's and only 1 interception). The Dolphins are still banged up in the secondary and rank near the bottom in pass defense yielding 250 passing yards to opponents. Advantage: Bucs passing attack

When you factor in how good each team is in the punt and kick return category, you can also expect to see a lot of short fields and more scoring.

Take the OVER in the Bucs vs Dolphins game