NFL Underdog Pick for Week 4
September 30th 2009 - Special K            

San Diego Chargers (+6.5) at Pittsburgh Steelers

Two straight winners for the underdog of the week,  Let's see if we can keep the streak alive in week 4. If you look at the statistics between both of these teams, you are left scratching your head wondering how the Steelers are even favored by a touchdown over the Chargers in this game. Maybe the oddsmakers are expecting an offensive explosion from the Steelers in this one but last time I checked the Steelers are only averaging 15 points per game. 

The running games for both teams has been are non-existent so far this season. The Steelers are only averaging 81 rushing yards per game and the Chargers only 66 rushing yards, so this game will come down to the QB play. You can predict exactly how this game is going to play out. It is going to come down to the team who has the ball last with both QB's capable of leading a last minute drive as evidenced in week 1.

This game is going to be too close to call straight up. It will be decided by a field goal or less.

Take the Chargers plus the points

And if you like trends in your favor: Since 2002, the Chargers are 7-2-1 ATS as an underdog of 6+ points.