NFL Best Bets for Week 11
November 18th 2016 - Old Man Winner
OAK -5.5 vs. Hou
Hasta la vista, baby!
This game marks the return of the NFL to Mexico where the Raiders take on the
Houston Texans on Monday night. Do you know what the translation of the word
Raiders is into Spanish? Asaltantes! Hahaha - Love it! That's what the Raiders
have in store for the Houston Texans - a total assault!
What players do you think of when you think of the Raiders? Derek Carr? Amari
Cooper? Michael Crabtree? Maybe Khalil Mack, if you are hard core? I want to
give you another name to add to your list and get very familiar with - Kelechi
Osemele (yes, I had to look up the spelling). Don't know who he is? You will
before too long. He's the Raiders left Offensive Guard.
I know the Dallas Cowboys offensive line is widely considered the best in
football. If they are, the Oakland Raider line is not too far behind. They have
been mauling teams lately, especially when running the ball. The vaunted World
Champion Denver Broncos were completely exposed in the Raiders last game.
Oakland ran the ball 43 times for 218 yards mainly behind you guessed it, left
guard Kelechi Osemele and scored three rushing touchdowns. That guy is an
absolute road plow!!!
So, how should the Raiders line do against a good Texans defense? Hold on! The
Texans are damn good against the pass, ranking 3rd in both yards and touchdown
passes thrown. However, they are not so great against the run, with only six
teams in the league allowing more rushing yards or touchdowns. No esta bien for
Houston fans.
What about the other side of the ball? Hey, I know the Raiders suck defending
the pass, you might be thinking. The Texans should be able to take advantage of
that, right? Uhhhh . . . . . no! The Texans rank DFL (think about it - you'll
get it) in passing offense. The $72Million Man has not been able to find one of
the most talented WR's in the league all year. I doubt this game will be the
turning point.
Not convinced? The Raiders have won their last four games after a bye week and
are undefeated this season when playing away from home. Still? OK, one more stat
just for fun. The most points the Texans have put up this year is 27. The
Raiders have scored over 27 points in 7 of their 9 games this year. With the
exception of some freak plays or turnovers, I just don't see how Houston can
keep up.
I see a fairly close low scoring game in the first half before the Texans
defensive line is completely gassed and giving up huge chunk yards in the second
half. I see another game where the Raiders go over 200 yards rushing.
Buenas noches, mi Houston amigos!
Oak 30 Hou 16
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