NFL Bargain Bets: Week 10
November 8th 2007
by Old Man Winner
Comment on Bargain Picks

This is Upset Week. I'm taking the three games (teams) getting the most points this week. I'll go even further out on a limb and predict that at least one of these teams will win outright.

Cleveland Browns +9.5 @ Pittsburg Steelers

Cleveland is on a roll and is quickly becoming an offensive juggernaut. Derek Anderson is for real (Brady who?), Braylon Edwards may be the best receiver in football, Kellen Winslow catches everything within reach, and Jamal Lewis is serviceable (4TD's last week). Pittsburgh has looked good, especially defensively, but if Anderson gets any time, he should be able to beat the Pitt secondary. I love getting points against teams coming off big Monday night wins. They often get surprised.

St. Louis Rams +11.5 @ New Orleans Saints

Yes, the Rams are winless. Yes, the Rams are horrible. Yes, the Rams have only covered the spread once this year. Yes, the Rams have no one to block for SJax or protect Bulger. Yes, NO has turned the corner and look more like last year's team than the winless one from earlier this season. Yes, the Brees to Colston connection is back. Yes, Bush is finally getting into the end zone more regularly. Yes, the Saints are playing at home in the dome. Yes, take the Rams and the points.

San Francisco 49ers +10 @ Seattle Seahawks

The 49ers have lost their last six games, but they're just not that bad. The Seahawks four wins are against teams with a combined record of 9-24. Much of the reason the spread is this high is based on the earlier game between these two teams in which Seattle trounced SF 23-3. However, that was the game that Alex Smith was knocked out early in the game and an unprepared and under skilled Trent Dilfer had to pinch hit. Vernon Davis was also out that game. The 49ers are healthier now and should find a way to cover if not win.