NFL Underdog Pick: Week 5
October 5th 2007
by Special K

MIA (+5.5) @ HOU

I can't take too much credit for last week's Atlanta pick because most of the homedogs won and the Chiefs deserve all of the credit for their huge upset.  After last week, I am seeing new survivor pools popping up everywhere.  Since week 1, the underdogs have covered 70% of the games, so how hard can it be to pick an underdog right?  I have a sneaky feeling this is the week the favorites come through. 

I was very close to not even bothering to write an underdog article this week as it was difficult trying to find a team that could do it.  I can't take the Lions, they are 0-20 in Washington even though Ditka thinks it is over-hyped (Read here). Just forget about the Browns and Bills.  Everyone wants to see the undefeated Cowboys vs. Patriots next week. Carolina is an interesting play as the road team is 11-0 against the spread when both teams meet, but how can you possibly put good money on David Carr?  Instead of playing sports, he should be in a rock band with Barry Zito.  Let's see, I like San Diego but they are hardly an underdog.  The Bucs? Freeney might get the sack record this week with Petitgout out. The Rams, Bears, and 49ers are all off limits because they don't even have a real quarterback.  I'm not going anywhere near the Jags/Chiefs or Giants/Jets games either.

That really just leaves me with the Dolphins. It may seem that I am picking on Houston again. Well, I am. Once again the Texans don't have a WR to start this week, and the running back situation is still in rough shape.  Did you see how slow Ron Dayne was last week? Not only that, he couldn't stuff it in on the goal line. If the Dolphins get Zack Thomas back in the lineup, I like them to win outright. Cam Cameron's is due his first victory.