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Atlanta Falcons at New Orleans Saints
LINE: NO +2.5  O/U:54
Sun 1:00 PM FOX

Matchup  
  W L T

DIV

HOME

AWAY

AFC

NFC

ATS
Atlanta Falcons 8 0 0 1-0 4-0 4-0 4-0 4-0 6-2
New Orleans Saints 3 5 0 1-1 2-2 1-3 1-1 2-4 4-4

2012 Statistics  
  NO Offense ATL Defense
Points Scored 27.25 17.87
Total Yards 386.37 356.25
Rush Yards 81 127.5
Pass Yards 305.37 228.75
3rd Down 44.33% 41.05%
Red Zone Eff 72% 57.89%
Time of Poss 26:50 28:22
  ATL Offense NO Defense
Points Scored 27.5 28.62
Total Yards 376.62 471.87
Rush Yards 98.5 176
Pass Yards 278.12 295.87
3rd Down 51.06% 37.73%
Red Zone Eff 57.57% 52.63%
Time of Poss 31:38 34:14

Recent Games        

Date

Week

Result

Line

O/U
Mon, 12/26/11 16 Atl 16 @ NO 45 NO -6.5 O 52.5
Sun, 11/13/11 10 NO 26 @ Atl 23 NO 0 U 50
Mon, 12/27/10 16 NO 17 @ Atl 14 NO +2.5 U 49
Sun, 09/26/10 3 Atl 27 @ NO 24 Atl +4 O 49.5
Sun, 12/13/09 14 NO 26 @ Atl 23 Atl +9.5 U 50.5
Mon, 11/02/09 8 Atl 27 @ NO 35 Atl +10 O 55.5
Sun, 12/07/08 14 Atl 25 @ NO 29 NO -3 O 52
Sun, 11/09/08 10 NO 20 @ Atl 34 Atl -1 O 50
Mon, 12/10/07 14 NO 34 @ Atl 14 NO -4.5 O 42.5
Sun, 10/21/07 7 Atl 16 @ NO 22 Atl +8.5 U 42.5

Matchup Edge
Points Scored
Points Allowed
Yards Gained
Yards Allowed
Rush Offense
Pass Offense
Time of Possession
Red Zone Efficiency
Turnovers
Sacks

Expect a close game with the Atlanta Falcons winning 47% of simulations, and the New Orleans Saints 52% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. The Atlanta Falcons commit fewer turnovers in 53% of simulations and they go on to win 65% when they take care of the ball. The New Orleans Saints wins 74% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Matt Ryan is averaging 307 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (42% chance) then he helps his team win 46%. Drew Brees is averaging 354 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (36% chance) then he helps his team win 64%.

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