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New York Giants at Atlanta Falcons
LINE: ATL -1.5  O/U:51
Sun 1:00 PM FOX

Matchup  
  W L T

DIV

HOME

AWAY

AFC

NFC

ATS

O-U
New York Giants 8 5 0 2-3 5-2 3-3 1-2 7-3 7-6 4-8-1
Atlanta Falcons 11 2 0 3-2 6-0 5-2 4-0 7-2 7-5 6-7

2012 Statistics  
  ATL Offense NYG Defense
Points Scored 25.92 20.76
Total Yards 376.15 376.15
Rush Yards 86.92 123.3
Pass Yards 289.23 252.84
3rd Down 46.83% 37.25%
Red Zone Eff 58.82% 47.22%
Time of Poss 30:38 29:44
  NYG Offense ATL Defense
Points Scored 28.69 19.92
Total Yards 372.92 361.92
Rush Yards 116.38 127
Pass Yards 256.53 234.92
3rd Down 35.97% 40.62%
Red Zone Eff 51.85% 51.51%
Time of Poss 30:16 29:22

Recent Games        

Date

Week

Result

Line

O/U
Sun, 01/08/12 WC Atl 2 @ NYG 24 NYG -3 U 47.5
Sun, 11/22/09 11 Atl 31 @ NYG 34 Atl +6.5 O 46
Mon, 10/15/07 6 NYG 31 @ Atl 10 NYG -3.5 U 43.5
Sun, 10/15/06 6 NYG 27 @ Atl 14 NYG +3 U 41.5
Sun, 11/21/04 11 Atl 14 @ NYG 10 Atl -3 U 40
Sun, 11/09/03 10 Atl 27 @ NYG 7 Atl +10 U 41

Matchup Edge
Points Scored
Points Allowed
Yards Gained
Yards Allowed
Rush Offense
Pass Offense
Time of Possession
Red Zone Efficiency
Turnovers
Sacks

Expect a close game with the New York Giants winning 49% of simulations, and the Atlanta Falcons 51% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. The New York Giants commit fewer turnovers in 63% of simulations and they go on to win 62% when they take care of the ball. The Atlanta Falcons wins 74% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Eli Manning is averaging 297 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (30% chance) then he helps his team win 60%. Matt Ryan is averaging 321 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (33% chance) then he helps his team win 59%.

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