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Green Bay Packers at Chicago Bears
LINE: CHI +3  O/U:42.5
Sun 1:00 PM FOX

Matchup  
  W L T

DIV

HOME

AWAY

AFC

NFC

ATS

O/U
Green Bay Packers 9 4 0 4-0 6-1 3-2 2-1 7-3 5-6-2 6-7
Chicago Bears 8 5 0 2-2 5-2 3-3 3-1 5-4 6-6 6-6-1

2012 Statistics  
  CHI Offense GB Defense
Points Scored 23.69 21.46
Total Yards 313.76 351.84
Rush Yards 122.38 116.69
Pass Yards 191.38 235.15
3rd Down 40.1% 40.1%
Red Zone Eff 52.77% 62.16%
Time of Poss 32:20 29:55
  GB Offense CHI Defense
Points Scored 24.84 16.84
Total Yards 345.76 313.84
Rush Yards 107.07 109
Pass Yards 238.69 204.84
3rd Down 43.6% 35.05%
Red Zone Eff 58.82% 47.22%
Time of Poss 30:05 28:15

Recent Games        

Date

Week

Result

Line

O/U
Thu, 09/13/12 2 Chi 10 @ GB 23 GB -6 O 51
Sun, 12/25/11 16 Chi 21 @ GB 35 GB -13 O 42
Sun, 09/25/11 3 GB 27 @ Chi 17 GB -3.5 U 45.5
Sun, 01/23/11 20 GB 21 @ Chi 14 GB -3.5 U 42.5
Sun, 01/02/11 17 Chi 3 @ GB 10 Chi +9.5 U 43
Mon, 09/27/10 3 GB 17 @ Chi 20 Chi +3 U 46
Sun, 12/13/09 14 GB 21 @ Chi 14 GB -3 U 41
Sun, 09/13/09 1 Chi 15 @ GB 21 GB -3.5 U 46.5
Mon, 12/22/08 16 GB 17 @ Chi 20 GB +4 U 40
Sun, 11/16/08 11 Chi 3 @ GB 37 GB -4 U 43
Sun, 12/23/07 16 GB 7 @ Chi 35 Chi +8.5 O 37.5
Sun, 10/07/07 5 Chi 27 @ GB 20 Chi +3 O 41
Sun, 12/31/06 17 GB 26 @ Chi 7 GB +3 U 36.5
Sun, 09/10/06 1 Chi 26 @ GB 0 Chi -3.5 U 35

Matchup Edge
Points Scored
Points Allowed
Yards Gained
Yards Allowed
Rush Offense
Pass Offense
Time of Possession
Red Zone Efficiency
Turnovers
Sacks

Expect a close game with the Green Bay Packers winning 56% of simulations, and the Chicago Bears 44% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. The Green Bay Packers commit fewer turnovers in 41% of simulations and they go on to win 81% when they take care of the ball. The Chicago Bears wins 63% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Alex Green is averaging 34 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (10% chance) then he helps his team win 77%. Matt Forte is averaging 69 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (22% chance) then he helps his team win 65%.

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