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Tampa Bay Buccaneers at New Orleans Saints
LINE: NO -3.5  O/U:54
Sun 1:00 PM FOX

Matchup  
  W L T

DIV

HOME

AWAY

AFC

NFC

ATS

O/U
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 6 7 0 2-2 3-4 3-3 3-1 3-6 8-4 7-5-1
New Orleans Saints 5 8 0 2-2 3-3 2-5 2-1 3-7 6-7 8-5

2012 Statistics  
  NO Offense TB Defense
Points Scored 26.76 23.69
Total Yards 394.3 389.84
Rush Yards 96.23 78.76
Pass Yards 298.07 311.07
3rd Down 43.63% 42.07%
Red Zone Eff 68.29% 51.16%
Time of Poss 28:03 30:29
  TB Offense NO Defense
Points Scored 27.23 29.15
Total Yards 356.84 437.3
Rush Yards 118.61 152.07
Pass Yards 238.23 285.23
3rd Down 34.33% 37.86%
Red Zone Eff 69.23% 55.93%
Time of Poss 29:51 32:37

Recent Games        

Date

Week

Result

Line

O/U
Sun, 10/21/12 7 NO 35 @ TB 28 NO -3 O 49.5
Sun, 11/06/11 9 TB 16 @ NO 27 NO -8 U 50.5
Sun, 10/16/11 6 NO 20 @ TB 26 TB +4.5 U 49.5
Sun, 01/02/11 17 TB 23 @ NO 13 TB +7.5 U 46.5
Sun, 10/17/10 6 NO 31 @ TB 6 NO -4 U 44
Sun, 12/27/09 16 TB 20 @ NO 17 TB +14 U 49
Sun, 11/22/09 11 NO 38 @ TB 7 NO -11.5 U 50.5
Sun, 11/30/08 13 NO 20 @ TB 23 NO +3.5 U 44.5
Sun, 09/07/08 1 TB 20 @ NO 24 NO -3.5 O 42.5
Sun, 12/02/07 13 TB 27 @ NO 23 TB +3 O 42
Sun, 09/16/07 2 NO 14 @ TB 31 TB +3.5 O 41.5
Sun, 11/05/06 9 NO 31 @ TB 14 NO +1 O 37.5
Sun, 10/08/06 5 TB 21 @ NO 24 TB +6.5 O 35.5

Matchup Edge
Points Scored
Points Allowed
Yards Gained
Yards Allowed
Rush Offense
Pass Offense
Time of Possession
Red Zone Efficiency
Turnovers
Sacks

The New Orleans Saints are a solid favorite with a 66% chance to beat the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Pierre Thomas is projected for 25 rushing yards and a 16% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 33% of simulations where Tampa Bay Buccaneers wins, Josh Freeman averages 1.51 TD passes vs 0.47 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 1.16 TDs to 0.97 interceptions. Doug Martin averages 163 rushing yards and 1.57 rushing TDs when Tampa Bay Buccaneers wins and 94 yards and 0.64 TDs in losses. The New Orleans Saints has a 40% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 90% of the time.

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