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New England Patriots at Jacksonville Jaguars
LINE: JAC +14.5  O/U:50
Sun 1:00 PM CBS

Matchup  
  W L T

DIV

HOME

AWAY

AFC

NFC

ATS

O-U
New England Patriots 10 4 0 5-0 5-2 5-2 9-1 1-3 8-6 11-3
Jacksonville Jaguars 2 12 0 2-3 1-6 1-6 2-9 0-3 6-8 6-8

2012 Statistics  
  JAC Offense NE Defense
Points Scored 15.64 22.5
Total Yards 284.07 377.57
Rush Yards 82.42 106.64
Pass Yards 201.64 270.92
3rd Down 28.64% 40.67%
Red Zone Eff 45.16% 56.09%
Time of Poss 27:25 29:42
  NE Offense JAC Defense
Points Scored 36.14 27.35
Total Yards 432.42 393.21
Rush Yards 136.71 147.21
Pass Yards 295.71 246
3rd Down 49.49% 41.79%
Red Zone Eff 68.75% 52.45%
Time of Poss 30:50 34:01

Recent Games        

Date

Week

Result

Line

O/U
Sun, 12/27/09 16 Jac 7 @ NE 35 NE -7.5 U 44
Sat, 01/12/08 Div Jac 20 @ NE 31 Jac +12 O 50
Sun, 12/24/06 16 NE 24 @ Jac 21 NE +3 O 38
Sat, 01/07/06 18 Jac 3 @ NE 28 NE -8 U 37.5

Matchup Edge
Points Scored
Points Allowed
Yards Gained
Yards Allowed
Rush Offense
Pass Offense
Time of Possession
Red Zone Efficiency
Turnovers
Sacks

The New England Patriots are a heavy favorite winning 84% of simulations over the Jacksonville Jaguars. Tom Brady is averaging 291 passing yards and 2.33 TDs per simulation and Stevan Ridley is projected for 54 rushing yards and a 34% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 16% of simulations where Jacksonville Jaguars wins, Chad Henne averages 1.62 TD passes vs 0.74 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 1.06 TDs to 1.33 interceptions. Montell Owens averages 46 rushing yards and 0.38 rushing TDs when Jacksonville Jaguars wins and 30 yards and 0.16 TDs in losses. The New England Patriots have a 62% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 92% of the time.

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