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Buffalo Bills at Miami Dolphins
LINE: MIA -4.5  O/U:41.5
Sun 1:00 PM CBS

Matchup  
  W L T

DIV

HOME

AWAY

AFC

NFC

ATS

O-U
Buffalo Bills 5 9 0 1-3 3-4 2-5 4-6 1-3 6-8 8-6
Miami Dolphins 6 8 0 1-3 4-3 2-5 4-6 2-2 7-5-2 5-8-1

2012 Statistics  
  MIA Offense BUF Defense
Points Scored 18.85 28.71
Total Yards 316.21 369.5
Rush Yards 111.35 144.14
Pass Yards 204.85 225.35
3rd Down 36.66% 43.82%
Red Zone Eff 52.94% 71.42%
Time of Poss 29:14 29:52
  BUF Offense MIA Defense
Points Scored 21.85 19.92
Total Yards 341.07 348.85
Rush Yards 139.85 100.57
Pass Yards 201.21 248.28
3rd Down 37.86% 35.09%
Red Zone Eff 47.72% 38.77%
Time of Poss 30:24 31:52

Recent Games        

Date

Week

Result

Line

O/U
Sun, 11/15/12 11 Mia 14 @ Buf 19 Buf -1.5 U 45
Sun, 12/18/11 15 Mia 30 @ Buf 23 Mia -1 O 41.5
Sun, 11/20/11 11 Buf 8 @ Mia 35 Mia -2 U 43.5
Sun, 12/19/10 15 Buf 17 @ Mia 14 Buf +5.5 U 40
Sun, 09/12/10 1 Mia 15 @ Buf 10 Mia -3 U 38.5
Sun, 11/29/09 12 Mia 14 @ Buf 31 Buf +3 O 39
Sun, 10/04/09 4 Buf 10 @ Mia 38 Mia +3 O 37
Sun, 12/07/08 14 Mia 16 @ Buf 3 Mia +1 U 42.5
Sun, 10/26/08 8 Buf 16 @ Mia 25 Mia +1.5 U 42.5
Sun, 12/09/07 14 Mia 17 @ Buf 38 Buf -7 O 36.5
Sun, 11/11/07 10 Buf 13 @ Mia 10 P +3 U 40.5
Sun, 12/17/06 15 Mia 0 @ Buf 21 Buf -1 U 34.5
Sun, 09/17/06 2 Buf 16 @ Mia 6 Buf +6.5 U 37

Matchup Edge
Points Scored
Points Allowed
Yards Gained
Yards Allowed
Rush Offense
Pass Offense
Time of Possession
Red Zone Efficiency
Turnovers
Sacks

The Miami Dolphins are a solid favorite with a 61% chance to beat the Buffalo Bills. Reggie Bush is projected for 78 rushing yards and a 44% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 39% of simulations where Buffalo Bills wins, Ryan Fitzpatrick averages 1.54 TD passes vs 0.7 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.98 TDs to 1.22 interceptions. C.J. Spiller averages 78 rushing yards and 0.54 rushing TDs when Buffalo Bills wins and 50 yards and 0.21 TDs in losses. The Miami Dolphins has a 54% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 83% of the time.

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