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Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Atlanta Falcons
LINE: ATL -7.5  O/U:51
Sun 1:00 PM FOX

Matchup  
  W L T

DIV

HOME

AWAY

AFC

NFC

ATS

O-U
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 6 9 0 2-3 3-5 3-4 3-1 3-8 8-6-1 7-7-1
Atlanta Falcons 13 2 0 3-2 7-0 6-2 4-0 9-2 9-5-1 6-9

2012 Statistics  
  ATL Offense TB Defense
Points Scored 26.8 25.13
Total Yards 375.2 386.66
Rush Yards 88.8 84.13
Pass Yards 286.4 302.53
3rd Down 48.9% 41.46%
Red Zone Eff 58.33% 54.9%
Time of Poss 31:04 30:08
  TB Offense ATL Defense
Points Scored 24.46 18.46
Total Yards 363.6 365.53
Rush Yards 112.6 121.8
Pass Yards 251 243.73
3rd Down 35.2% 40.21%
Red Zone Eff 61.36% 46.15%
Time of Poss 30:09 28:56

Recent Games        

Date

Week

Result

Line

O/U
Sun, 11/25/12 12 Atl 24 @ TB 23 Push +1 U 48.5
Sun, 01/01/12 17 TB 24 @ Atl 45 Atl -11.5 O 46.5
Sun, 09/25/11 3 Atl 13 @ TB 16 TB -1.5 U 45.5
Sun, 12/05/10 13 Atl 28 @ TB 24 Atl -3 O 43.5
Sun, 11/07/10 9 TB 21 @ Atl 27 TB +8.5 O 45
Sun, 01/03/10 17 Atl 20 @ TB 10 Atl -2.5 U 41.5
Sun, 11/29/09 12 TB 17 @ Atl 20 TB +12 U 46
Sun, 12/14/08 15 TB 10 @ Atl 13 P -3 U 43.5
Sun, 09/14/08 2 Atl 9 @ TB 24 TB -7 U 37.5
Sun, 12/16/07 15 Atl 3 @ TB 37 TB -13 O 39
Sun, 11/18/07 11 TB 31 @ Atl 7 TB -3 O 35.5
Sun, 12/10/06 14 Atl 17 @ TB 6 Atl -4 U 37.5
Sun, 09/17/06 2 TB 3 @ Atl 14 Atl -5 U 35.5

Matchup Edge
Points Scored
Points Allowed
Yards Gained
Yards Allowed
Rush Offense
Pass Offense
Time of Possession
Red Zone Efficiency
Turnovers
Sacks

The Atlanta Falcons are a solid favorite with a 63% chance to beat the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Michael Turner is projected for 41 rushing yards and a 33% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 37% of simulations where Tampa Bay Buccaneers wins, Josh Freeman averages 1.34 TD passes vs 0.83 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.98 TDs to 1.53 interceptions. Doug Martin averages 101 rushing yards and 0.95 rushing TDs when Tampa Bay Buccaneers wins and 64 yards and 0.4 TDs in losses. The Atlanta Falcons has a 49% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 84% of the time.

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