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Chicago Bears at Detroit Lions
LINE: DET +3  O/U:44.5
Sun 1:00 PM FOX

Matchup  
  W L T

DIV

HOME

AWAY

AFC

NFC

ATS

O/U
Chicago Bears 9 6 0 2-3 5-3 4-3 3-1 6-5 7-7-1 7-7-1
Detroit Lions 4 11 0 0-5 2-5 2-6 1-3 3-8 3-9-2 9-6

2012 Statistics  
  DET Offense CHI Defense
Points Scored 23.2 16.86
Total Yards 414.2 314.6
Rush Yards 102.86 103.93
Pass Yards 311.33 210.66
3rd Down 42.05% 34.46%
Red Zone Eff 58.49% 48.71%
Time of Poss 32:30 28:50
  CHI Offense DET Defense
Points Scored 23.26 27.4
Total Yards 304.4 338
Rush Yards 121.73 115.93
Pass Yards 182.66 222.06
3rd Down 37.25% 37.3%
Red Zone Eff 52.38% 54.28%
Time of Poss 31:40 29:10

Recent Games        

Date

Week

Result

Line

O/U
Mon, 10/22/12 7 Det 7 @ Chi 13 Push -6 U 47.5
Sun, 11/13/11 10 Det 13 @ Chi 37 Chi -3 O 43.5
Mon, 10/10/11 5 Chi 13 @ Det 24 Det -5.5 U 47
Sun, 12/05/10 13 Chi 24 @ Det 20 Chi -3.5 P 44
Sun, 09/12/10 1 Det 14 @ Chi 19 Det +6.5 U 44.5
Sun, 01/03/10 17 Chi 37 @ Det 23 Chi -3 O 44
Sun, 10/04/09 4 Det 24 @ Chi 48 Chi +3 O 42
Sun, 11/02/08 9 Det 23 @ Chi 27 Det +13 O 43.5
Sun, 10/05/08 5 Chi 34 @ Det 7 Chi -3.5 U 44.5
Sun, 10/28/07 8 Det 16 @ Chi 7 Det +5 U 43
Sun, 09/30/07 4 Chi 27 @ Det 37 Det +3 O 45
Sun, 12/24/06 16 Chi 26 @ Det 21 P +5 O 42
Sun, 09/17/06 2 Det 7 @ Chi 34 Chi -8.5 O 32

Matchup Edge
Points Scored
Points Allowed
Yards Gained
Yards Allowed
Rush Offense
Pass Offense
Time of Possession
Red Zone Efficiency
Turnovers
Sacks

Expect a close game with the Chicago Bears winning 55% of simulations, and the Detroit Lions 45% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. The Chicago Bears commit fewer turnovers in 69% of simulations and they go on to win 69% when they take care of the ball. The Detroit Lions wins 76% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Matt Forte is averaging 76 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (23% chance) then he helps his team win 79%. Mikel LeShoure is averaging 49 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (26% chance) then he helps his team win 64%.

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