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Miami Dolphins at New England Patriots
LINE: NE -10.5  O/U:46.5
Sun 4:25 PM CBS

Matchup  
  W L T

DIV

HOME

AWAY

AFC

NFC

ATS

O-U
Miami Dolphins 7 8 1 2-3 5-3 2-5 5-6 2-2 8-5-2 5-9-1
New England Patriots 11 4 0 5-0 5-2 6-2 10-1 1-3 8-7 11-4

2012 Statistics  
  NE Offense MIA Defense
Points Scored 35.26 19.26
Total Yards 426.86 351
Rush Yards 134.46 104.13
Pass Yards 292.4 246.86
3rd Down 48.57% 35.58%
Red Zone Eff 68.65% 39.21%
Time of Poss 30:37 31:44
  MIA Offense NE Defense
Points Scored 19.2 22.06
Total Yards 315.2 381.46
Rush Yards 116.06 105.73
Pass Yards 199.13 275.73
3rd Down 37.62% 39.58%
Red Zone Eff 56.75% 53.33%
Time of Poss 29:18 29:53

Recent Games        

Date

Week

Result

Line

O/U
Sun, 12/02/12 13 NE 23 @ Mia 16 Mia +7.5 U 51
Sat, 12/24/11 16 Mia 24 @ NE 27 Mia +10 O 49.5
Mon, 09/12/11 1 NE 38 @ Mia 24 NE -7 O 45.5
Sun, 01/02/11 17 Mia 7 @ NE 38 NE -4.5 O 44
Mon, 10/04/10 4 NE 41 @ Mia 14 NE 0 O 48
Sun, 12/06/09 13 NE 21 @ Mia 22 Mia +5 U 45.5
Sun, 11/08/09 9 Mia 17 @ NE 27 Mia +10.5 U 47
Sun, 11/23/08 12 NE 48 @ Mia 28 NE +2 O 42.5
Sun, 09/21/08 3 Mia 38 @ NE 13 Mia +12.5 O 36.5
Sun, 12/23/07 16 Mia 7 @ NE 28 Mia +21.5 U 43.5
Sun, 10/21/07 7 NE 49 @ Mia 28 NE -16.5 O 51.5
Sun, 12/10/06 14 NE 0 @ Mia 21 Mia +3.5 U 37
Sun, 10/08/06 5 Mia 10 @ NE 20 NE -9.5 U 37

Matchup Edge
Points Scored
Points Allowed
Yards Gained
Yards Allowed
Rush Offense
Pass Offense
Time of Possession
Red Zone Efficiency
Turnovers
Sacks

The New England Patriots are a solid favorite with a 71% chance to beat the Miami Dolphins. Stevan Ridley is projected for 60 rushing yards and a 33% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 28% of simulations where Miami Dolphins wins, Ryan Tannehill averages 1.24 TD passes vs 0.64 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.87 TDs to 1.19 interceptions. Reggie Bush averages 77 rushing yards and 0.54 rushing TDs when Miami Dolphins wins and 51 yards and 0.24 TDs in losses. The New England Patriots has a 53% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 86% of the time.

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