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San Francisco 49ers at Atlanta Falcons
LINE: SF -4  O/U:49.5
Sun 3:00 PM FOX

Matchup  
  W L T

DIV

HOME

AWAY

AFC

NFC

ATS

O-U
San Francisco 49ers 12 4 1 3-2-1 7-1-1 5-3 4-0 8-4-1 10-6-1 9-7-1
Atlanta Falcons 14 3 0 3-3 8-1 6-2 4-0 9-3 10-6-1 7-10

2012 Statistics  
  ATL Offense SF Defense
Points Scored 26.18 17.06
Total Yards 369.12 294.37
Rush Yards 87.31 94.18
Pass Yards 281.81 200.18
3rd Down 46.93% 33.02%
Red Zone Eff 58.73% 61.11%
Time of Poss 30:52 30:06
  SF Offense ATL Defense
Points Scored 24.81 18.68
Total Yards 361.5 365.56
Rush Yards 155.68 123.18
Pass Yards 205.81 242.37
3rd Down 35.05% 40.5%
Red Zone Eff 50.9% 45.23%
Time of Poss 31:45 29:08

Recent Games        

Date

Week

Result

Line

O/U
Sun, 10/03/10 4 SF 14 @ Atl 16 SF +6.5 U 42.5
Sun, 10/11/09 5 Atl 45 @ SF 10 Atl +2.5 O 41.5
Sun, 11/04/07 9 SF 16 @ Atl 20 Atl -3 U 37
Sun, 09/12/04 1 Atl 21 @ SF 19 SF +3.5 U 44.5

Matchup Edge
Points Scored
Points Allowed
Yards Gained
Yards Allowed
Rush Offense
Pass Offense
Time of Possession
Red Zone Efficiency
Turnovers
Sacks

Expect a close game with the San Francisco 49ers winning 50% of simulations, and the Atlanta Falcons 50% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. The San Francisco 49ers commit fewer turnovers in 69% of simulations and they go on to win 64% when they take care of the ball. The Atlanta Falcons wins 82% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Colin Kaepernick is averaging 64 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (33% chance) then he helps his team win 67%. Matt Ryan is averaging 310 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (38% chance) then he helps his team win 55%.


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