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New England Patriots at Baltimore Ravens
LINE: BAL -3  O/U:49
Sun 8:20PM ESPN

Matchup  
  W L T

DIV

HOME

AWAY

AFC

NFC

ATS
New England Patriots 1 1 0 0-0 0-1 1-0 1-0 0-1 1-1
Baltimore Ravens 1 1 0 1-0 1-0 0-1 1-0 0-1 2-0

2012 Statistics  
  BAL Offense NE Defense
Points Scored 33.5 16.5
Total Yards 377.5 264.5
Rush Yards 116.5 62.5
Pass Yards 261 202
3rd Down 30.43% 28.57%
Red Zone Eff 80% 50%
Time of Poss 26:36 28:39
  NE Offense BAL Defense
Points Scored 26 18.5
Total Yards 388.5 404
Rush Yards 126 129
Pass Yards 262.5 275
3rd Down 40.74% 36.66%
Red Zone Eff 42.85% 37.5%
Time of Poss 31:21 33:24

Recent Games        

Date

Week

Result

Line

O/U
Sun, 01/22/12 CC Bal 20 @ NE 23 Bal +7 U 50.5
Sun, 10/17/10 6 Bal 20 @ NE 23 NE -2.5 U 44.5
Sun, 01/10/10 Div Bal 33 @ NE 14 Bal +3.5 O 43
Sun, 10/04/09 4 Bal 21 @ NE 27 NE -2 O 45
Mon, 12/03/07 13 NE 27 @ Bal 24 Bal +20 O 49.5
Sun, 11/28/04 12 Bal 3 @ NE 24 NE -7 U 36

Matchup Edge
Points Scored
Points Allowed
Yards Gained
Yards Allowed
Rush Offense
Pass Offense
Time of Possession
Red Zone Efficiency
Turnovers
Sacks

The Baltimore Ravens are a solid favorite with a 63% chance to beat the New England Patriots. Ray Rice is projected for 73 rushing yards and a 45% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 37% of simulations where New England Patriots wins, Tom Brady averages 2.15 TD passes vs 0.56 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 1.45 TDs to 1.04 interceptions. Stevan Ridley averages 66 rushing yards and 0.6 rushing TDs when New England Patriots wins and 46 yards and 0.3 TDs in losses. The Baltimore Ravens has a 57% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 78% of the time.

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