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Denver Broncos at New England Patriots
LINE: NE -7  O/U:51.5
Sun 4:25 PM CBS

Matchup  
  W L T

DIV

HOME

AWAY

AFC

NFC

ATS

O-U
Denver Broncos 2 2 0 1-0 2-1 0-1 2-1 0-1 2-2 2-2-0
New England Patriots 2 2 0 1-0 0-1 2-1 2-1 0-1 3-1 3-1-0

2012 Statistics  
  NE Offense DEN Defense
Points Scored 33.5 20.75
Total Yards 438.25 308
Rush Yards 144 87.5
Pass Yards 294.25 220.5
3rd Down 41.5% 41.37%
Red Zone Eff 61.11% 53.84%
Time of Poss 31:08 30:30
  DEN Offense NE Defense
Points Scored 28.5 23
Total Yards 387 367.5
Rush Yards 109 86
Pass Yards 278 281.5
3rd Down 46.29% 39.21%
Red Zone Eff 64.28% 50%
Time of Poss 29:30 28:52

Recent Games        

Date

Week

Result

Line

O/U
Sat, 01/14/12 Div Den 10 @ NE 45 NE -13.5 O 50.5
Sun, 12/18/11 15 NE 41 @ Den 23 NE -6 O 47.5
Sun, 10/11/09 5 NE 17 @ Den 20 Den +3 U 42
Mon, 10/20/08 7 Den 7 @ NE 41 NE -3 P 48
Sun, 09/24/06 3 Den 17 @ NE 7 Den +6.5 U 39.5
Sat, 01/14/06 Div NE 13 @ Den 27 Den -3.5 U 44.5
Sun, 10/16/05 6 NE 20 @ Den 28 Den -3 O 46.5
Mon, 11/03/03 9 NE 30 @ Den 26 NE +2.5 O 35.5
Sun, 10/27/02 8 Den 24 @ NE 16 Den +3 U 46

Matchup Edge
Points Scored
Points Allowed
Yards Gained
Yards Allowed
Rush Offense
Pass Offense
Time of Possession
Red Zone Efficiency
Turnovers
Sacks

The New England Patriots are a solid favorite with a 72% chance to beat the Denver Broncos. Stevan Ridley is projected for 45 rushing yards and a 26% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 28% of simulations where Denver Broncos wins, Peyton Manning averages 2.49 TD passes vs 0.63 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 1.88 TDs to 1.18 interceptions. Willis McGahee averages 69 rushing yards and 0.51 rushing TDs when Denver Broncos wins and 47 yards and 0.26 TDs in losses. The New England Patriots has a 50% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 86% of the time.

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