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Minnesota Vikings at Detroit Lions
LINE: DET -4.5  O/U:46.5
Sun 1:00 PM FOX

Matchup  
  W L T

DIV

HOME

AWAY

AFC

NFC

ATS

O-U
Minnesota Vikings 10 6 0 4-2 7-1 3-5 3-1 7-5 9-6-1 7-9
Detroit Lions 4 12 0 0-6 2-6 2-6 1-3 3-9 4-9-3 10-6

2012 Statistics  
  DET Offense MIN Defense
Points Scored 23.25 21.75
Total Yards 408.75 350
Rush Yards 100.93 105.75
Pass Yards 307.81 244.25
3rd Down 42.54% 41.3%
Red Zone Eff 60% 60.78%
Time of Poss 32:05 31:34
  MIN Offense DET Defense
Points Scored 23.68 27.31
Total Yards 336.56 341.18
Rush Yards 164.18 117.68
Pass Yards 172.37 223.5
3rd Down 37.14% 36.53%
Red Zone Eff 53.84% 51.28%
Time of Poss 28:44 29:29

Recent Games        

Date

Week

Result

Line

O/U
Sun, 11/11/12 10 Det 24 @ Min 34 Min +2 O 47
Sun, 09/30/12 4 Min 20 @ Det 13 Min +4.5 U 46.5
Sun, 12/11/11 14 Min 28 @ Det 34 Min +7 O 46.5
Sun, 09/25/11 3 Det 26 @ Min 23 Min +3.5 O 44.5
Sun, 01/02/11 17 Min 13 @ Det 20 Det -3.5 U 43.5
Sun, 09/26/10 3 Det 10 @ Min 24 Min -11 U 43.5
Sun, 11/15/09 10 Det 10 @ Min 27 P -17 U 47.5
Sun, 09/20/09 2 Min 27 @ Det 13 Min -9.5 U 45.5
Sun, 12/07/08 14 Min 20 @ Det 16 Det +8 U 45.5
Sun, 10/12/08 6 Det 10 @ Min 12 Det +13.5 U 47
Sun, 12/02/07 13 Det 10 @ Min 42 Min -3.5 O 45
Sun, 09/16/07 2 Min 17 @ Det 20 P -3 U 42

Matchup Edge
Points Scored
Points Allowed
Yards Gained
Yards Allowed
Rush Offense
Pass Offense
Time of Possession
Red Zone Efficiency
Turnovers
Sacks

Expect a close game with the Minnesota Vikings winning 40% of simulations, and the Detroit Lions 59% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. The Minnesota Vikings commit fewer turnovers in 67% of simulations and they go on to win 53% when they take care of the ball. The Detroit Lions wins 86% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Adrian Peterson is averaging 90 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (34% chance) then he helps his team win 61%. Matthew Stafford is averaging 282 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (42% chance) then he helps his team win 64%.

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