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New England Patriots at Buffalo Bills
LINE: NE -10.5  O/U:50
Sun 1:00 PM CBS

Matchup  
  W L T

DIV

HOME

AWAY

AFC

NFC

ATS

O-U
New England Patriots 12 4 0 6-0 6-2 6-2 11-1 1-3 9-7 11-5
Buffalo Bills 6 10 0 2-4 4-4 2-6 5-7 1-3 7-9 8-8

2012 Statistics  
  BIF Offense NE Defense
Points Scored 21.5 20.68
Total Yards 343.12 373.62
Rush Yards 138.81 102.06
Pass Yards 204.31 271.56
3rd Down 38.88% 39.51%
Red Zone Eff 50% 52.17%
Time of Poss 30:11 29:33
  NE Offense BUF Defense
Points Scored 34.81 27.18
Total Yards 427.87 362.87
Rush Yards 136.5 145.81
Pass Yards 291.37 217.06
3rd Down 48.67% 44.01%
Red Zone Eff 70% 69.09%
Time of Poss 30:56 30:03

Recent Games        

Date

Week

Result

Line

O/U
Sun, 01/11/12 10 Buf 31 @ NE 37 Buf +11 O 51
Sun, 09/30/12 4 NE 52 @ Buf 28 NE -4 O 51.5
Sun, 01/01/12 17 Buf 21 @ NE 49 NE -11 O 50
Sun, 09/25/11 3 NE 31 @ Buf 34 Buf +8.5 O 54
Sun, 12/26/10 16 NE 34 @ Buf 3 NE -8 U 44
Sun, 09/26/10 3 Buf 30 @ NE 38 Buf +14 O 43
Sun, 12/20/09 15 NE 17 @ Buf 10 P +7 U 40.5
Mon, 09/14/09 1 Buf 24 @ NE 25 Buf +10.5 O 47.5
Sun, 12/28/08 17 NE 13 @ Buf 0 NE -6 U 36
Sun, 11/09/08 10 Buf 10 @ NE 20 NE -4 U 41.5
Sun, 11/18/07 11 NE 56 @ Buf 10 NE -16 O 47
Sun, 09/23/07 3 Buf 7 @ NE 38 NE -16 O 42

Matchup Edge
Points Scored
Points Allowed
Yards Gained
Yards Allowed
Rush Offense
Pass Offense
Time of Possession
Red Zone Efficiency
Turnovers
Sacks

The New England Patriots are a heavy favorite winning 76% of simulations over the Buffalo Bills. Tom Brady is averaging 238 passing yards and 2.11 TDs per simulation and Stevan Ridley is projected for 81 rushing yards and a 43% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 24% of simulations where Buffalo Bills wins, Kevin Kolb averages 1.36 TD passes vs 0.57 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.92 TDs to 1.1 interceptions. C.J. Spiller averages 102 rushing yards and 0.8 rushing TDs when Buffalo Bills wins and 64 yards and 0.36 TDs in losses. The New England Patriots have a 52% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 90% of the time.

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