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New England Patriots at Atlanta Falcons
LINE: ATL -1.5 O/U: 49.5
Sun 8:30 PM NBC |
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| 2013
Statistics |
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ATL Offense |
NE Defense |
| Points
Scored |
23.66 |
11.33 |
| Total
Yards |
379 |
309 |
| Rush
Yards |
90 |
120.66 |
| Pass
Yards |
289 |
188.33 |
| 3rd Down |
42.85% |
33.33% |
| Red Zone Eff |
50% |
50% |
| Time of
Poss |
30:45 |
27:45 |
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| |
NE Offense |
ATL Defense |
| Points
Scored |
19.66 |
24.66 |
| Total
Yards |
340.33 |
375 |
| Rush
Yards |
122.66 |
79 |
| Pass
Yards |
217.66 |
296 |
| 3rd Down |
39.62% |
47.61% |
| Red Zone Eff |
30.76% |
70% |
| Time of
Poss |
32:15 |
29:15 |
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Recent Games |
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Date |
Week |
Result |
Line |
O/U |
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Sun, 09/27/09 |
3 |
Atl 10 @ NE 26 |
NE -4.5 |
U 46 |
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Sun, 10/09/05 |
5 |
NE 31 @ Atl 28 |
NE -1.5 |
O 41.5 |
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Expect a close game with the New England Patriots winning 46% of simulations,
and the Atlanta Falcons 53% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is
especially important. The New England Patriots commit fewer turnovers in 49%
of simulations and they go on to win 67% when they take care of the ball. The
Atlanta Falcons wins 74% of the simulations in which they commit fewer
turnovers. Tom Brady is averaging 297 passing yards per sim. If he can have a
great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to
INT ratio (34% chance) then he helps his team win 56%. Matt Ryan is averaging
291 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than
average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (37% chance) then
he helps his team win 60%.
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