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New Orleans Saints at New England Patriots
LINE: NE -2.5 O/U: 50
Sun 4:25 PM FOX


Matchup  
  W L T

DIV

HOME

AWAY

AFC

NFC

ATS

O-U

New Orleans Saints 5 0 0 2-0 3-0 2-0 1-0 4-0 4-1 1-4
New England Patriots 4 1 0 2-0 2-0 2-1 2-1 2-0 2-3 1-4

2013 Statistics  
  NE Offense NO Defense
Points Scored 19 14.6
Total Yards 343.4 330.4
Rush Yards 116.4 108.6
Pass Yards 227 221.8
3rd Down 37.17% 35.71%
Red Zone Eff 35.29% 61.53%
Time of Poss 30:37 25:23
  NO Offense NE Defense
Points Scored 26.8 14
Total Yards 405 345
Rush Yards 78.2 116.4
Pass Yards 326.8 228.6
3rd Down 43.47% 36.48%
Red Zone Eff 42.1% 35.71%
Time of Poss 34:37 29:23

Recent Games        

Date

Week

Result

Line

O/U

Mon, 11/30/09 12 NE 17 @ NO 38 NO -3 U 56.5
Sun, 11/20/05 11 NO 17 @ NE 24 NO +9 U 46.5

Matchup Edge

Points Scored
Points Allowed
Yards Gained
Yards Allowed
Rush Offense
Pass Offense
Time of Possession
Red Zone Efficiency
Turnovers
Sacks

Expect a close game with the New Orleans Saints winning 56% of simulations, and the New England Patriots 43% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. The New Orleans Saints commit fewer turnovers in 40% of simulations and they go on to win 82% when they take care of the ball. The New England Patriots wins 61% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Drew Brees is averaging 298 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (32% chance) then he helps his team win 67%. Tom Brady is averaging 256 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (33% chance) then he helps his team win 50%.

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