Expect a close game with the Houston Texans winning 44% of simulations, and
the Kansas City Chiefs 56% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin
is especially important. The Houston Texans commit fewer turnovers in 30% of
simulations and they go on to win 77% when they take care of the ball. The
Kansas City Chiefs wins 71% of the simulations in which they commit fewer
turnovers. Arian Foster is averaging 67 rushing yards per sim. If he can
have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1
rushing TD (29% chance) then he helps his team win 69%. Jamaal Charles is
averaging 136 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better
than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (33% chance) then he
helps his team win 81%.
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