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Indianapolis Colts at Houston Texans
LINE: HOU +2.5  O/U: 44.5
Sun 8:40 PM NBC

Matchup  
  W L T

DIV

HOME

AWAY

AFC

NFC

ATS

O-U
Indianapolis Colts 5 2 0 1-0 3-1 2-1 3-2 2-0 4-3 3-4
Houston Texans 2 5 0 1-0 1-2 1-3 2-2 0-3 0-6-1 3-3-1

2013 Statistics  
  HOU Offense IND Defense
Points Scored 17.42 18.71
Total Yards 381.14 350.71
Rush Yards 127.71 122.28
Pass Yards 253.42 228.42
3rd Down 36.63% 34.78%
Red Zone Eff 45% 55.55%
Time of Poss 33:52 29:37
  IND Offense HOU Defense
Points Scored 26.71 27.71
Total Yards 344.71 267.71
Rush Yards 128.14 122.14
Pass Yards 216.57 145.57
3rd Down 42.69% 38.7%
Red Zone Eff 61.9% 68.18%
Time of Poss 30:23 28:26

Recent Games        

Date

Week

Result

Line

O/U
Sun, 12/30/12 17 Hou 16 @ Ind 28 Ind +6.5 O 42.5
Sun, 12/16/12 15 Ind 17 @ Hou 29 Hou -8.5 U 48
Thu, 12/22/11 16 Hou 16 @ Ind 19 Ind +6 U 40
Sun, 09/11/11 1 Ind 7 @ Hou 34 Hou -8.5 U 43.5
Mon, 11/01/10 8 Hou 17 @ Ind 30 Ind -5.5 U 51.5
Sun, 09/12/10 1 Ind 24 @ Hou 34 Hou +2.5 O 47.5
Sun, 11/29/09 12 Ind 35 @ Hou 27 Ind -3.5 O 48.5
Sun, 11/08/09 9 Hou 17 @ Ind 20 Hou +9 U 50
Sun, 11/16/08 11 Hou 27 @ Ind 33 Hou +8.5 O 50.5
Sun, 10/05/08 5 Ind 31 @ Hou 27 Ind -3 O 47
Sun, 12/23/07 16 Hou 15 @ Ind 38 Ind -7 O 45
Sun, 09/23/07 3 Ind 30 @ Hou 24 P +6 O 47.5

Matchup Edge
Points Scored
Points Allowed
Yards Gained
Yards Allowed
Rush Offense
Pass Offense
Time of Possession
Red Zone Efficiency
Turnovers
Sacks

Expect a close game with the Indianapolis Colts winning 55% of simulations, and the Houston Texans 45% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. The Indianapolis Colts commit fewer turnovers in 47% of simulations and they go on to win 79% when they take care of the ball. The Houston Texans wins 67% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Andrew Luck is averaging 273 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (36% chance) then he helps his team win 65%. Arian Foster is averaging 120 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (40% chance) then he helps his team win 69%.

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